Daily fantasy football continues during Wild Card Week as Collin Hulbert gives you another week of his expert picks.
Week 17 was the finale we hoped for. Across three FanDuel lineups, we scored 157, 146 and 108. Going into the week, we couldn’t have asked for much more than to close out at 138. As for the average over the 17 weeks of the NFL season, we had a weekly average of 133.
On Sunday, I posted an update (via Twitter) after the news regarding Antonio Brown sitting and James Conner suiting up. As for our picks, we hit an absolute homerun with a handful of players. Despite Josh Allen’s ranking in the teens on many DFS sites, Allen was among our top picks at quarterback. Allen (41 points on FanDuel) headlined our quarterbacks and set our season scoring record. Lamar Jackson (26) was a solid number two, while Nick Foles (16) and Ben Roethlisberger (16) rounded out the group. George Kittle (25), CJ Anderson (23), and Chris Carson (19) were our top stud performances of the week.
A look ahead to Wildcard Week
Wildcard Week is here. I’m happy to be back to bring you a condensed slate of picks for the limited contests this week. Our goal, adjusted for the limited number of teams, is to score over 105 (FanDuel scoring). The main contest this week features just eight teams, so I will be choosing just one standard lineup from amongst the limited options.
|2019 PokerStars Caribbean Adventure Main Event Final Table Results|
|1st||Chino Rheem (United States)||$1,567,100|
|2nd||Daniel Strelitz (United States)||$951,480|
|3rd||Scott Wellenbach (Canada)||$671,240|
|4th||Pavel Veksler (Ukraine)||$503,440|
|5th||Vicent Bosca (Spain)||$396,880|
|6th||Brian Altman (United States)||$297,020|
|7th||Mihai Manole (Romania)||$208,920|
|8th||Marc-Andrew Ladouceur (Canada)||$146,840|
Deshaun Watson (DK-$,000/FD-$8,400)
It was a tough choice between Luck and Watson this week. The line for the Texans vs Colts game is five points higher than any other matchup, and this matchup has already given us two shootouts this season. In his two games against the Colts, Watson is averaging 25 points in the two previous meetings this season. I like Watson at home, but Andrew Luck is a very close second. Either should be a fine play this week.
Ezekiel Elliott (DK-$6,800/FD-$8,800)
There aren’t any truly amazing matchups for running backs this week, aside from Zeke. Zeke is the highest-priced back this week and it’s for good reason. In their only meeting earlier in the season, Zeke had 127 yards rushing on only 16 attempts. Though the Seahawks feature the 13th ranked rush defense, there are few options with the potential of Elliott at running back this week. The Cowboys will be utilizing a well-rested Elliott from start to finish in this one.
Chris Carson (DK-$6,500/FD-$7,500)
If Chris Carson plays like he did the last time these two teams played, he will be well worth the $7,500 price tag. Carson is a high-volume back who faces a strong defense this week. The Cowboys have improved against the run and rank 5th against running backs this season. However, Russell Wilson has been more potent since these two teams last met and Carson went over 100 yards the first time, regardless. Barring any wild swings, the volume should be there for Carson this week. Hopefully, Wilson will keep the Cowboys secondary in check.
Allen Robinson (DK-$8,700/FD-$6,500)
We are going pricey at quarterback and running back, so we’ll have to bargain shop where we can. Robinson has been solid all season against bad passing defenses (except vs NE). Robinson is coming off a two-week break following a rib injury, but had a nice week of six receptions for 85 yards in the game preceding it. This week, he gets a fine matchup against the 30th ranked passing defense, who happens to be top-10 against the run. All indicators point to Robinson having a big game at home.
Nelson Agholor (DK-$7,600/FD-$6,400)
The Bears are 7th against the pass this season, but 1st against the run. Vegas doesn’t expect this game to be high scoring, but Nick Foles has found Agholor for three touchdowns in the past two games, so their chemistry has been strong as of late. Agholor has the big play ability to make him a low-priced gamble this week; even in a tough matchup. Believe in Nick Foles. Cross your fingers with Agholor.
Chester Rogers (DK-$7,000/FD-$5,100)
Rogers is going to be one hell of a dart throw this week. With TY Hilton still sitting out at practice, there’s a good shot Rogers sees plenty of snaps this coming Sunday. As road underdogs with an outstanding quarterback at the helm, facing the 28th ranked passing defense, Rogers seems like a good buy-low candidate for a decent game.
Eric Ebron (DK-$6,700/FD-$7,800)
Ebron is a bit banged up, as he sat out Wednesday’s practice to rest. Ebron should get a lot of work when these two meet for the third time. In two prior meetings this season, Ebron had 9 receptions, over 100 yards and two touchdowns. Regardless of the status of TY Hilton, Ebron will get work in this game and has easily the best matchup among the tight ends playing this weekend (28th passing defense).
Colts D (DK-$3,300/FD-$3,700)
I don’t actually believe the Colts will have a great game this weekend. The thing is, I’m not sure of which of the defenses actually will have a great game. Price aside, I’d choose the Bears. That being said, I’m choosing the Colts to stay within the confines of the budget. It comes down to certainty, and I’m not sure the difference in performance between the Colts and anyone else is great enough for me to sacrifice spending elsewhere.
Tarik Cohen (DK-$3,900/FD-$7,000)
Tarik Cohen has schemed to success this season. The Bears have gone into a few games this season with lopsided opposition defensive splits (bad vs pass, good vs rush) and schemed accordingly. Between himself and Howard, in games favoring a strong passing attack, Cohen has been the clear choice. The matchup against the Eagles is no different. Though Cohen’s receiving volume has been low lately, expect this Bear to come out of hibernation and tear the Eagles secondary to shreds.
Collin is a former Army Intelligence and Logistics officer who got a little too into Football analysis. Since leaving the Army, he’s practically the Jack Ryan of football analysts. But he spends most of his days with his wife and two daughters, so he is clearly a better father than Jack Ryan.
Follow Collin on Twitter @CollinHulbert