Collin Hulbert is back with his daily fantasy baseball picks for Tuesday, July 30th to help you put together your DraftKings lineups.
We truly are entering the dog days of summer. With no other major sports in the way (sorry, cricket) we can focus on baseball for another month before football returns in time to sweep us off our feet. The trades we typically see a lot of this time of year may have finally arrived as the Mets traded for Marcus Stroman of the Blue Jays. It was an odd move, given the Mets’ current standing in their division, but hey, it shows a commitment to winning so it’s good news if you’re a Mets fan. Keep your eyes peeled for trades over the coming days as a player’s situation could change very quickly.
It’s time to break out of the slump
As for DFS baseball, we had a second consecutive bad week. We only put up 72 points. It’s a slump, which happens in baseball and DFS alike. One thing we have to accept about the sport of baseball is that you are considered successful if you hit safely three out of ten times. It’s just as difficult to choose correctly in DFS when dealing with hitters. Once again, our pitchers didn’t let us down for the week. We’ve yet to have a dud on the season from our arms, as Chris Archer and Yonny Chirinos combined for 27 points. They were sub-par outings by their standards but still fall in the “average” category as far as outings go.
As far as our position players go, we were once again hindered by donuts. For the matchup, we had three donuts and a DNP. It’s difficult to nail the starts because I write these the day prior, so pay attention to the lineups prior to first pitch and make adjustments accordingly. Aaron Judge was our big performer for the week, putting up 21 points. No one homered and one of our high-dollar starts completely flopped (Alex Bregman). It happens but hey, my Brother-in-Law is naming his daughter Bregman (true story), so no hard feelings.
This week is the “Draft Bust Edition” and features a slew of former top picks. Many of these former top prospects never really panned out, but baseball is a patient game and I am a patient DFS writer, so let’s all take a deep breath and ride out this regression to the mean. We are hopping over to the other side of the box and going with a pair of front-end starters to anchor our lineup. We committed a lot of money to position players last week and when that happens, it increases the variance of the outputs. We got burned by a few high dollar donuts but it’s a new week and I’d like to roll back to the opening week strategy to bounce back.
Noah Syndergaard (DK-$10,300)
The former first-round pick has been popping up in trade rumors with the Padres, of all teams. He’s still only 26 and isn’t having the best season thus far — 4.33 ERA and 1.26 WHIP — but the 6’6 flamethrower is in fine form of late, averaging over 24 fantasy points in his past three outings, to go with 8.33 strikeouts in each. On Tuesday, he’ll face the rudderless Chicago White Sox and Reynaldo Lopez. Not only is he a hot play this week, the Mets will be heavy favorites in this matchup, which should only add to the appeal of Syndergaard sailing smoothly towards a victory in what might be his final start in a Mets uniform.
Mike Leake (DK-$8,600)
Leake was just the 21st player in Major League history to make the jump to the Majors without throwing a pitch in the Minors. The crafty right-hander was taken in the first round in 2010 by the Reds Ariel Jurado of the Rangers on Tuesday. Like Syndergaard, his team will be favorites in the game and should offer incentive for the odds-on probability of snagging a win.
Matt Wieters (DK-$3,500)
Wieters was once the top prospect in baseball and drafted fifth overall in 2007. He’s one of those guys who’s flashed at various stages of his career but couldn’t quite sustain a high enough level of play over a significant enough period of time. He’s 33 now and elderly by a catcher’s standards, but the old man has hit safely in six of his past seven games, homering in three. Wieters has only faced Darvish five times in his career, so it’s a small sample, but he’s only been fanned once. It’s a low value risk we’re willing to take to incorporate this pitching duo into the lineup.
Rhys Hoskins (DK-$4,500)
Rhys Hoskins has multiple hits in three of his past six games. His 22 home runs and 66 RBIs are impressive, but his matchup at home against Tyler Beede is what you should be licking your chops about. Though the two have yet to face one another, Hoskins is a power threat and should draw caution from Beede. There could be a sneaky-high ceiling for Hoskins here.
Gleyber Torres (DK-$4,600)
Torres has a very impressive line (.291, 20 HRs, 55RBI) in 2019. He’s hit safely in nine of his past eleven games and has an absolutely beautiful matchup Tuesday when he will face Taylor Clarke (6.10 ERA, 1.53 WHIP) at Yankee Stadium. It’s a great matchup in a hitter-friendly stadium. What’s not to like here? This is a simple decision.
Todd Frazier (DK-$3,900)
The sun may be setting on the once-celebrated hero of the Little League World Series, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to put him in the rearview mirror just yet. Tuesday, Frazier will face the volatile Reynaldo Lopez of the Chicago White Sox. Lopez has a 5.52 ERA and a horrid 1.45 WHIP in 2019. I like the matchup here for Frazier, who has hit safely in his past four games and will look to keep the streak going when the Mets visit Chicago in this interleague matchup.
Tim Beckham (DK-$4,100)
Former number one pick, Tim Beckham, hasn’t been the disappointment most of us expected he’d be following his free agency signing with the Mariners. Though he’s by no means living up to his draft stock, he’s hit 15 home runs so far in 2019 and faces a great matchup with Ariel Jurado of the Rangers. Jurado is carrying a 4.83 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP into Tuesday’s contest. In his last four outings, Jurado has under four points in three of the four. It’s a favorable matchup for a shortstop with some pop.
Niko Goodrum (DK-$3,900)
Niko Goodrum is a name you may have not heard much of, but he’s been battling his way out of his early-season slump as of late, hitting .375 over his past twelve games. It’s brought his average up over .250 and he’s only been held scoreless — from a fantasy perspective — just one time in that span. The switch-hitting Goodrum will face Griffin Canning, who has surrendered 11 walks in his last four outings. Goodrum’s speed (11 steals in 2019) offers added incentive to this start as his legs will offer a dynamic edge in Tuesday’s matchup.
Dexter Fowler (DK-$3,500)
Fowler might be the biggest wildcard in the lineup this week. He’s got two home runs in the past three games and is nursing a minor foot issue. Monitor his status ahead of Tuesday’s game. Fowler is riding a six-game hitting streak heading into Monday, so he’s swinging the bat well and has the resume to provide us with a big game. He’s worth a roll of the dice against Yu Darvish Tuesday.
Bubba Starling (DK-$3,100)
Starling may be the steal of this lineup at just $3,100 on DraftKings. He was once the 5th overall pick in 2011 but struggled in the minors to flash the power and speed he was initially projected to exhibit at a professional level. Starling is now almost 27 years old and is finally getting his shot at the Major League level. He’s off to a decent start so far, hitting .294 in 13 games. Though he did get the sombrero last time out — four strikeouts against the Indians — he does still have the advantage of being a fresh face without much tape at the Major League level. He was hitting over .300 in Triple-A prior to being called up, so he’s a capable batter who should fare better than others going around the same price, especially considering the comparable players are utility players who likely won’t get the same opportunity.
Collin is a former Army Intelligence and Logistics officer who will watch any sport and gamble with anyone willing. This is his second year writing for dailyfantasysports.codes.