Since 1926, the Genesis Invitational has been played at the Riviera Country Club at Pacific Palisades. Since 2017, it has been sponsored by Genesis. Prior to that, it was also the Northern Trust Open and the Nissan Open.
For the majority of its existence, it was known as the Los Angeles Open. Unlike last week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the Genesis Invitational features a stacked field.
MANY are invited, but only ONE will win pic.twitter.com/Mlx7SBam6g
— The Genesis Invitational (@thegenesisinv) February 17, 2021
Last week, we put out five picks to make the top ten, with the goal of cashing a net positive. The ice-cold Maverick McNealy — to finish in the top ten — turned out to be our only hit last week. McNealy finished second, playing incredibly sharp down the stretch (shooting a 66 in the final round). Overall, it was an okay start to the season, as we look ahead to the Genesis Open this week.
This will we present our betting picks for the Genesis Invitational, with betting lines from the DraftKings Online Sportsbook.
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Three in ten
This is our group picked to finish in the top ten. The objective here is to break even, so we are going with three solid choices to get you into/onto the green for the weekend.
Adam Scott +350
Scott was the winner in this tournament in 2020, willing by two strokes at -11. He has won the event twice (2020, 2005) and finished runner-up twice (2006, 2016). Scott is off to a pedestrian but decent start this season, finishing 41st or better in every tournament this season but only one top ten.
Scott’s lone top ten finish this season was at his last tournament (Farmers). The Genesis Invitational could be the tournament that pulls Scott back into relevance in the FedEx Cup standings (just as it was a week ago when we picked McNealy).
Hideki Matsuyama +400
Matsuyama has just one top-20 finish thus far in four tournaments in 2021. However, he tied for fifth in this tournament a year ago. Not only does Matsuyama have last year’s finish to elevate our interests in him in this tournament, but he has also been one of the most consistent players this season, making the cut in nine of ten tournaments.
Matsuyama being in the mix on the final round is the reason we have faith in him to repeat his previous success in this year’s tournament.
Max Homa +500
Max Homa tied for 5th in this tournament in 2020. Homa has finished 21st or better in four of his last five tournaments. He finished 7th last week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Homa is playing great golf and matches the criteria for being a strong player in this year’s tournament as well.
Homa isn’t particularly strong in any of the advanced metrics, but he’s playing well at the moment and has played well here in the past.
Two longer-odds picks to finish tip five and to win.
Viktor Hovland +750 to finish Top 5
Hovland is the NBA Jam rules play this week. He’s played in seven tournaments this season, finishing in the top 25 in five of his seven tournaments, with two top-ten finishes. Viktor’s currently 8th in Greens in Regulation percentage this season. He’s also 5th in the FedEx Cup standings this season.
Hovland doesn’t have much of a history with this tournament, but assuming he makes the cut, he should be in the hunt during the final round. In his last tournament (Farmers), he finished 2nd, so expect big things from Hovland this week.
Xander Schauffele +1550 to win
Schauffele is one of the hottest players this season. He finished 23rd in this tournament in 2020. This year, he’s 33rd in Greens in Regulation percentage, 6th in Eagles per hole, 5th in Birdie average, 4th in scoring average, and 2nd in the FedEx Cup standings.
Schauffele is coming off 5th at Sentry TOC, 2nd at Farmers, and 2nd at the Waste Management Open two weeks ago. Dustin Johnson is the heavy favorite this week, but Schauffele is among the group of six with the next-best odds at taking the title. For the odds, we like Schauffele, all things considered.