Wyndham Championship 2021 Betting Tips

Here’s 7 Top Betting Picks For The 2021 Wyndham Championships

The Wyndham Championship has been played in Greensboro, North Carolina since 1938. Originally known as the Greater Greensboro Open, it has had notable sponsors such as Chrysler and K-Mart since 1988. In 2007, Wyndham bought the rights and it’s been the Wyndham Championship ever since.

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The course itself — the Ross Course — is located at the Sedgefield Country Club. It’s rated as the 14th best course in the country, according to top100golfcourses.com.

The fairways tend to be lined heavily with trees, bunkers lay on the fairway on four holes, and most greens are raised, but welcoming to a variety of different approach shots. This is definitely a second-shot course (most notably) with accuracy off-the-tee a critical factor.

Last week, we cashed in on the FedEx St Jude Invitational in Memphis (net +210 return on all picks last week). My hometown course was indeed a good luck charm and hopefully a turning point for picks this season. Daniel Berger (T-5, +350) and Harris English (T-10, +230) cashed for us and subsequently gave us that net positive return on the week.

This week, we’re looking at the golfers on the cusp of keeping their tour card for next season, literally playing for their livelihood on the PGA Tour. We will be looking at some of those players and going with the ones who are heating up down the stretch. Here’s our focus for this week:

  1. Strokes Gained: Total
  2. Past performance at Sedgefield
  3. Recent form
  4. Driving Accuracy
  5. GIRP

Good luck this week as we take a look at some of the best lines from the Wyndham Championship through the DraftKings Online Sportsbook.

Off the Tee – Three players to finish in the top 40

Michael Thompson +220

Michael Thompson is right on the FedEx Cup button (125th). He finished 20th last week but is T-41 in each of his last three tournaments. Michael is 16th in Driving accuracy and 65th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.

The issue for him has been these low-scoring tournaments. His Strokes Gained: Total is just 126th and he hasn’t finished with a total score ten or more under par since January 24th at the American Express.

Lucky for Michael, this course may be the break he needed, as he’s performed well here in the past, making the cut in five of six and finishing inside the Top-25 twice. I like Mike to get off the button this week in a positive way.

Roger Sloan +170

Sloan is the true low-hanging fruit pick this week, aside from Webb Simpson. Roger is ranked 131st in the FedEx Cup and just 96th in Driving Accuracy. The good part here is that he’s 68th in Strokes Gained: Total and 24th in GIRP.

He’s coming in hot, finishing 6th last week at Barracuda and making five straight cuts. He’s also finished 31st or better in four of his last five. Sloan is an easy choice this week.

Vincent Whaley +220

Vincent Whaley is just 26 but fighting to stay on tour. He’s currently 137th in the FedEx Cup race, but has come on strong of late, finishing 26th at Barbasol and 9th at Barracuda.

Whaley finished 37th in his only Wyndham appearance (2020) and has some favorable metrics, along with some not-so-favorable ones as well.

He’s currently 42nd in Eagles per hole, which should help him on a course such as this. However, he’s just 108th in Strokes Gained: Total and 163rd in Driving Accuracy. He’s a big risk this week but I like him based on last year’s performance here and his FedEx Cup situation.

Middle of the Fairway – Two Players to finish in the top 20

Patrick Rodgers +450 

Patrick Rodgers is 29 and a Stanford grad, so he has options outside the tour. However, I think he’s probably hoping to ensure the safety of his card, as Rodgers sits 122nd in the FedEx Cup points race. Rodgers has made eight straight cuts and five straight T-41 finishes. He finished 13th last week at Barracuda and is 35th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-tee.

The only two issues are his Driving Accuracy (187th) and Strokes Gained: Total (115th). Rodgers isn’t great at either, but his play of late has been promising. If you believe in the Rodgers of late and not the one prior to May, he could pay off for you this week.

Zach Johnson +280 

Zach currently sits 107th in standings. He needs another high finish to stay above water to keep his PGA Tour card and this may be the one to get him into a safe zone. Zach finished 5th and 7th here in two of his last three tournaments here (made cut all four times here).

He’s 81st in Driving Accuracy, but 48th in Strokes Gained: Total (6th in Putting). Zach is coming off three Top-34 finishes in his last four tournaments (with more competitive fields). I like the odds this week, as I see him as more of a coin-flip play.

On the Green – Two players to finish in the top 10

Hank Lebioda +600 

This is our longshot pick for the week and it’s based on NBA Jam rules. Prior to withdrawing from the 3M Open due to the health of his father, Lebioda finished 8th at the JDC, 4th at Rocket, and 5th at Travelers.

There are a few red flags here and that’s likely why his odds are so long. The first issue is his history at this course. Despite making both cuts, Lebioda wasn’t anywhere close to the Top-20. The second big issue is the advanced metrics.

Lebioda is only 98th in Driving Accuracy and 42nd in Strokes Gained: Total. One positive, aside from his recent play, is his GIRP (19th). I’m willing to roll the dice this week on a guy who is young and hasn’t been bad on this course.

Webb Simpson -110

A few players are specifically known for their proficiency at specific courses. Webb Simpson is one of those guys. He is fresh off two consecutive T-20 finishes at the Open and FedEx St Jude. Webb has played this tournament 12 times. He only missed the cut once and it was his first time playing here. His finishes from most recent to oldest are as follows: 3, 2, 2, 3, 72, 6, 5, 11, 22, 1, 8.

Webb is a very accurate driver, ranking 19th in the PGA. He’s also 7th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green, 15th in Strokes Gained: Putting, and 22nd in Strokes Gained: Total. We think some players are automatic on certain courses, but we know Webb is at Sedgefield.


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