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6 Betting Picks For This Weekend’s PGA Travelers Championship

TPC River Highlands originally opened in 1928, but has twice been re-designed. From 1967-2003, this tournament was named the Greater Hartford Open (or some variation). It is located in Cromwell, Connecticut, TPC River Highlands.

The course itself is full of elevation variation and thick rough. The greens are the issue for weak putters. Since they’re so easy to read, it’s the type of course where good putters will gain a decent number of strokes.

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Jon Rahm turned out to be a solid pick last week, as he came through in the clutch to take home the US Open title, shooting four-under on Sunday to win by a stroke over Louis Oosthuizen.

Unfortunately, we had three other players on the card who barely miss out on a cash, yet again. Two weeks ago, it was Harris English. Last week, it was Patrick Reed, Bryson DeChambeau, and Xander Schauffele. It’s amazing how in Bryson and Xander’s case, they were in a relatively safe cashing position for most of Sunday until crumbling on the back nine.

We now sit at -4.58 units on the season. This week, we are again looking to break out of our slump, as we’ve selected six players this week for our card.

TPC River Highlands is a course known for historically low scoring, so “Shots Gained” proficiency will be paramount amongst the field this week

  1. Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green
  2. Prior success at TPC River Highlands
  3. Shots Gained: Approach
  4. Recent form

Good luck this week as we present our best value picks for the Travelers Championship with lines from the DraftKings Online Sportsbook.

Middle of the fairway – Two players to finish in the top 20

Brian Harman +100

Brian Harman is the epitome of a Top-20 guy. In his last eight tournaments, Harman has seven Top-20 finishes. If he doesn’t finish Top-20 this week, I’ll be a little confused.

In addition to his great form, Harman has three Top-10 finishes in his last six Travelers Championships. The only problem here is Harman’s advanced stats. Much of his Shots Gained advantage comes from his superb putting (16th in Shots Gained: Putting).

Aside from that, Harman doesn’t tip the scale in many other areas. He’s 28th in Shots Gained: Total, but much of that is due to the putting numbers.

Scottie Scheffler +125

Scheffler is our second coin-flip pick this week. We missed on both seemingly easy coin flips last week.  If we go 0-2 again this week, this little coin flip experiment may be over. Scheffler is just 25 years old. Despite his youth, he’s got seven Top-10 finishes this season.

He’s also got all the advanced stats on his side. Scottie is 4th in Birdie Average, 16th in Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee, and 28th in Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green.

Though Scottie failed to make the cut in his only appearance at TPC River Highlands, he has three Top-10 finishes in his last four tournaments. I like the guys who have been hot lately and Scheffler is as hot as anyone on tour.

Edge of the green – Two players to finish in the top 10

Patrick Reed +225

Patrick Reed is played terrific golf down the stretch at Torrey Pines, shooting a 67 (4 under) on Sunday to slide into the Top-20. Unfortunately for us, it wasn’t enough for us to get the cash (Top-10). We are going with Reed again this week, given his prior success at TPC River Highlands and his recent form.

Reed has finished inside the Top-20 in four of his last five tournaments and has finished inside the Top-30 in four of his last five Travelers Championships. Patrick Reed is 15th in Shots Gained: Around-the-Green, 8th in Shots Gained: Putting, and 8th in Shots Gained: Total.

With his strong recent form and strong finish as Torrey Pines last week, I feel good about going with Reed this week.

Kevin Streelman +300

Kevin Streelman is playing great golf lately, finishing 26th or better in each of his last five tournaments. Though Streelman has just one Top-10 finish over that stretch, he’s finished in the Top-10 five times over 13 tournaments (including winning the tournament in 2014).

Streelman is the kind of player who can take advantage of relatively easy courses, as his GIRP ranks 20th on tour. His Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green is 32nd and his Shots Gained: Approach is 27th. Streelman might be 42 but he’s playing great golf and returns to a course he’s already won a title at.

Eagle Opportunity – Two Players to finish in the top five

Patrick Cantlay +350

We can’t ever seem to get it right with Cantlay, so if you choose to take him this week, keep in mind we haven’t cashed with him this season, somehow. Patrick is 8th in Shots Gained: Around-the-Green, 4th in Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green, and 6th in Shots Gained: Total.

He’s been in strong form, winning the Memorial and finishing 15th at the US Open (closing with a final round 69 on Sunday). Cantlay has finished inside the Top-15 in each of his last three Travelers Championships.

With the recent success and proven success at this venue, Cantlay should be in for another strong showing this weekend in Connecticut.

Paul Casey +350

Paul Casey is 43, but playing some of the best golf of his life. He has played this tournament six times, finishing inside the top-5 four times. He’s also never shot worse than eight under par. Not only has Paul been terrific here in the past, but he’s also been outstanding as of late, finishing 4th in the PGA Championship and 7th last week at the US Open.

Casey is 3rd in Shots Gained: Approach, 7th in Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green, and 13th in Shots Gained: Total. Casey is on fire lately. Expect him to keep it going on a course he’s very comfortable with.

 

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