Week 2 of College Football was like an awesome party that ended too early. As the day wore on, less and less games were competitive, which led to a lot of premature bedtimes for us fans.
Overall, it was a good day. There was the near upset in Colorado, as Texas A&M overcame the loss of their QB to squeeze out a slim victory. The best game was in Columbus, where the Oregon Ducks ran all over the Ohio State Buckeyes and escaped Columbus with a major upset.
For the season, we’re now sitting comfortably at 8-4. Air Force blew out Navy (very much in the manner we expected), while Iowa was able to pull-off the upset in Ames, thanks to their defense causing mayhem again.
We turned out to be extremely wrong on both Texas and USC. Even the athletic department at USC was surprised (so much so that they fired the coach immediately after the loss).
A Look Ahead to Week 3
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Prop recommendation: Ohio State ML -2500, Iowa ML -2000, Alabama (alt spread: -9) -210. A $100 bet would pay out $181 with the profit boost promo.
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This week will be full of great games from noon til midnight Saturday. #8 Cincinnati has a big test on the road against Indiana. #15 Virginia Tech travels to West Virginia to take on the Mountaineers while #1 Alabama will venture into Gainesville to face the #11 Gators at the Swamp.
The evening games will be awesome as well. #22 Auburn will be in Happy Valley for the whiteout game against #10 Penn State, while the 10:15 EST game is #19 Arizona State traveling to Utah to face #23 BYU in what may be the most sober tailgate any ASU fan has ever experienced.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
#8 Cincinnati -3.5 at Indiana
From what we can tell, Cincinnati looks like the same team who dominated the American Athletic Conference last season, losing their only game by three points to Georgia in the Peach Bowl. Even without Gerrid Doaks in the backfield, I feel like this team is being disrespected, and it’s not justifiable.
This game is setup like a trap game. I tend to be weary of games like this, but it’s hard to see this line and take it seriously. Look at Indiana’s stinker against Iowa, and try as hard as you can to rationalize picking this same Indiana team to knock off a Top 10 team.
Last week, Indiana was without Michael Penix behind center, but Idaho didn’t really show up either, so it worked out well for the Hoosiers. It’s not just the questions at QB that scare me with Indiana. I also have some questions with the secondary.
In the opener, Iowa didn’t even really have to take to the air to pile up the points against Indiana. Indiana was so turnover prone, Iowa got away with a very conservative game script and still won by four touchdowns.
Cincinnati’s Desmond Ridder is easily the most talented QB Indiana has faced thus far. The thing that locks this in for Cincinnati is simple. They are a talented roster and matchup like many of the big conference schools in the country. The Bearcats are on a mission in 2021 and it’s time we get on board.
Cincinnati 30 Indiana 20
#1 Alabama -14.5 at Florida (buy the point for Alabama down to 13.5)
It’s rare I suggest buying points in a game, but with a spread at 14.5, buying the single point will do a lot towards providing some piece of mind during the game. Bama has been drubbing teams in big games for over two decades.
Though the Swamp used to be a formidable place to play, that time is long in the rear-view mirror. When you take a look at this Florida roster, there’s some key pieces missing from last season. Kyle Trask (QB) and Kadarius Toney (WR) are the most notable departed from the 2020 roster.
Alabama is off to a great start, though their last game had its hiccups offensively. The Crimson Tide look like the undisputed best team in the country. Though Saban and the Tide have historically had some issues with dual threat QBs, it’s worth noting that it rarely happens against a guy who is also turnover prone through the air.
Bama should control the line of scrimmage, as well as sacrifice safeties and linebackers to force the issue with the Gators QB. The Gators are simply too inconsistent and too turnover-prone to hang in this one.
Alabama 45 Florida 20
#22 Auburn +5 at #10 Penn State
Penn State had one of the worst performances I’ve seen from a Big 10 school in a win for quite a long time. Their opening win over Wisconsin was painful to watch. Sean Clifford was erratic, missing open receivers on multiple occasions throughout the game.
Had it not been for the big play to Jahan Dotson in the third quarter (via blown coverage), Penn State could’ve easily lost their opener to Wisconsin. For a few years now, Sean Clifford has been hyped as a possible NFL QB if he can just fix ____ things.
At this point, I’m tired of hearing about how great Penn State is, while the results on the field don’t necessarily back that up.
Auburn is a bit of a mystery this season. They have two impressive wins to start the season, but both were very bad opponents. Penn State definitely has the edge with the big game experience in 2021, but I’m not convinced with what I’ve seen.
Though the atmosphere will be electric in Happy Valley Saturday night, I feel like Bo Nix has evolved as the Auburn QB and their rushing attack could cause too many issues for the Penn State defensive front. This seems more like a game winning field goal-type game.
Auburn 27 Penn State 24
#19 Arizona State at #23 BYU +3.5
We are going to keep up the unconventional approaches going this week to see what comes from it. Normally, I favor the more prolific run teams when facing a prolific passing offense. We will cite this game going forward as a little experiment.
It may be hypocritical to go with Auburn on the road at Penn State but then change course in this game, but I’d like to hedge my thought process here. BYU is a prolific passing offense. Their QB is fresh off a big win over rivals Utah, while Arizona State has feasted on two extremely weak opponents thus far.
Despite the weak opponents, Arizona State is doing impressive things on both sides of the ball. It’s hard to gauge how that will translate against a strong opponent. One thing that will likely be a certainty if both of these teams being able to move the ball.
BYU was shredded last week on the ground by Utah, while Arizona State is running the ball extremely well. Where I pump the brakes on Arizona State is the BYU QB and his ability to keep drives alive.
No matter how good a team is at stopping either the run or pass, an efficient passing, dual threat QB can make a good defense look marginal. It’s a big game for BYU, at home, and I expect they’ll at least keep this game close throughout.
Arizona State 31 BYU 30