It’s now official, Hellmuth vs Negreanu is going to happen. The latest confirmation came during the No Gamble, No Future podcast, where Brent Hanks said that the pair would play through High Stakes Duel on PokerGo.
Phil Hellmuth also confirmed that he would be playing Negreanu on the Stake Center podcast, while saying he that he is ready to play Phil Ivey and Tom Dwan in the High Stakes Duel.
What do we know about this match at this point?
When will the Hellmuth Vs Negreanu match take place?
The match is set to be held on March 16th at 8 PM ET.
How did the match get started?
Coming off a big loss in the Negreanu vs Polk heads-up match, Phil Hellmuth had criticized Negreanu’s play, saying that he was not impressed with the strategy that Negreanu used during the match despite calling Negreanu a “great player.” This led to a rebuke from Negreanu who noted that he was keen to play Hellmuth, but that he thought he was “too chicken” to actually go forward with it.
Feeling confident despite coming off the big loss to Polk, Negreanu feels that his skills developed significantly over the last few months and could more than compete with Hellmuth.
“I would love to play Phil Hellmuth. I think he’s chicken. I think he’s scared. I think he knows he’s going to look bad.”
What game will Hellmuth vs Negreanu be playing?
Phil Hellmuth and Daniel Negreanu will play No Limit Hold’em with stakes yet to be determined. The format will be quite a bit different from Negreanu vs Polk and instead take on the form of other High Stakes Duel matches, where players buy-in for a predetermined figure for each round.
Each player will put up $50,000 in the first round of the game. The loser will then have the option to challenge the winner for a rematch, where the stakes will double. They will double each round until one player wins three matches in a row.
The stake level increase could result in a potential prize pool of $12.8 million if it reaches 8 rounds.
How can I watch Hellmuth vs Negreanu?
The heads-up match is poised to be held through the High Stakes Feud show, which has previously run a match between Hellmuth and Antonio Esfandiari. Hellmuth won all three rounds of his matchups against Esfandiari and collected $400,000 in prizes.
The matchups are streamed on PokerGo, which is available through a subscription.
Who is likely to win the match?
Now that the main terms of the match have been agreed upon, PokerShares has posted odds. As of March 1st, Negreanu was around a -164 favorite to win the match, effectively giving Kid Poker a 60% chance of winning.
The poker odds site also has odds posted for the Bill Perkins vs Landon Tice match set for this Spring.
As far as speculation, Negreanu is fresh off a lot of heads-up No Limit Hold’em, which could mean a lot of poker fans will gravitate towards Negreanu winning the match. Indeed, that is just what is happening with some offshore books making Negreanu a -240 favorite.
Are Negreanu and Hellmuth betting on the match?
During an interview with the No Gamble, No Future Podcast, Negreanu said that he had bet a significant amount on himself at -150. Negreanu is also betting against Hellmuth in other ways, including this prop bet:
Bet offered and accepted:
If he shows a $1 profit he wins the bet.
— Daniel Negreanu (@RealKidPoker) March 2, 2021
Watch Hellmuth discuss match against Negreanu
Hellmuth appeared on the StakeCenter Podcast to talk about the challenge:
How about a match preview?
Phil Hellmuth and Daniel Negreanu were both guests on the “No Gamble, No Future” podcast where they sat down with Jeff Platt and Brent Hanks to preview the match and how they feel about each other’s games and chances of winning.