The Daniel Negreanu and Doug Polk heads-up match kicked off on November 4th when the pair played their first session live from the PokerGo studios, with Daniel Negreanu winning by $116k. The session marked the start of the High Stakes Feud Heads-Up Challenge, which is expected to run through early 2021.
Note: The post was last updated on January 22nd after Day 31 of the heads-up match between Negreanu vs Polk.
Where can you watch the heads-up match online?
You can view the sessions live through a variety of different channels on Twitch and Youtube:
PokerGo broadcasted the first day of action on November 4th with Negreanu and Polk playing 200 hands. Negreanu started the challenge on a strong note, winning $116k. You can watch that session here.
What do we know about the Doug Polk versus Daniel Negreanu heads-up match up?
The full details of the grudge match between Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu were set in the days leading up to the start of the heads-up match on November 4th. Details were solidified in early to mid-October which you can read more about: The Top 8 things we learned from the Negreanu/Polk heads-up match.
In short, here are the main terms:
- 2 tables of $200/$400 No Limit Hold’em
- 25,000 hands
- The player behind after 12,500 hands can quit the match at that point. Negreanu was behind by $770k and decided to play on.
What game is Daniel Negreanu and Doug Polk playing during their challenge?
The pair are playing two simultaneous tables of heads-up $200/$400 No Limit Hold’em, which was confirmed from an early tweet from Daniel Negreanu.
Who is winning the Daniel Negreanu/Doug Polk heads-up match?
Doug Polk is currently winning in his heads-up match against Daniel Negreanu by around $613,000 after 31 sessions (January 22nd) over 18,500 hands. Here’s a session by session breakdown of how things have played out:
|Session #||Day of session||Winner on day||Hands on Session||Total Hands||Overall Leader after session||Notes|
|1||November 4th (live session from PokerGo studios)||Daniel Negreanu ($116,000)||200||200||Daniel Negreanu - $116,000||The session was broadcast live on PokerGo|
|2||November 6th||Doug Polk ($218,000)||424||624||Doug Polk - $101,000||First online session on WSOP.com|
|3||November 9th||Doug Polk ($166,239)||382||1,006||Doug Polk - $268,031||Watch session|
|4||November 11th||Daniel Negreanu ($87,167)||366||1,372||Doug Polk - $180,865||Watch Session|
|5||November 13th||Daniel Negreanu ($206,994.59)||365||1,737||Daniel Negreanu - $25,916.87||Watch Session during which Negreanu overtakes Polk|
|6||November 16th||Doug Polk ($93,542.68)||637||2,374||Doug Polk - $67.625.81||Watch Session|
|7||November 18th||Daniel Negreanu ($222,832.70)||591||2,965||Daniel Negreanu - $155,206.89||Watch session|
|8||November 19th||Daniel Negreanu ($24,156.82)||457||3,422||Daniel Negreanu - $179,363.71||Watch session|
|9||November 20th||Doug Polk ($205,521.74)||377||3,799||Doug Polk - $26,371.78||Watch session|
|10||November 23rd||Doug Polk ($117,624)||852||4,651||Doug Polk - $143,996||Watch session|
|11||November 25th||Doug Polk ($120,023.59)||416||5,067||Doug Pok - $264,109.75||Watch session|
|12||November 28th||Doug Polk ($332,178.14)||684||5,781||Doug Polk - $596,197.89||Watch session.|
|13||November 30th||Daniel Negreanu ($17,780.32)||476||6,227||Doug Polk - $578,417.57||Watch session|
|14||December 2nd||Daniel Negreanu (~$13,000)||600||6,800||Doug Polk - $565,417.57||Watch session|
|15||December 4th||Daniel Negreanu ($46,581.88)||450||7,250||Doug Polk - $514,417||Watch Polk stream live, with hole cards on some hands|
|16||December 7th||Doug Polk ($160,348.99)||600||7,850||Doug Polk - $674,417||Watch session|
|17||December 9th||Doug Polk (~$101,773.33)||662||8,970 (new adjusted total)||Doug Polk - $784,560||Watch session|
|18||December 10th||Doug Polk ($173,362.61)||980||9,950||Doug Polk - $957,932.57||Watch session|
|19||December 11th||Daniel Negreanu ($143,642.37)||834||10,784||Doug Polk - $814,290.20||Watch session|
|20||December 21st||Daniel Negreanu ($117,962.68)||534||11,318||Doug Polk - $696,327.92||Watch session|
|21||December 23rd||Doug Polk ($114,140)||904||12,222||Doug Polk - $810,468.18||Watch session|
|22||December 28th||Daniel Negreanu (~$35,000)||279||12,500||Doug Polk - $770,254||Watch session|
|23||January 4th||Daniel Negreanu ($27,000)||500||13,000||Doug Polk - $743,248.28||Watch session|
|24||January 6th||Daniel Negreanu ($98,579.92)||750||13,750||Doug Polk - $644,668.36||Watch session|
|25||January 8th||Daniel Negreanu ($27,945.80)||750||14,500||Doug Polk - $616,722.56||Watch session|
|26||January 11th||Daniel Negreanu ($132,648.63)||750||15,250||Doug Polk - $484,073.93||Watch session|
|27||January 13th||Doug Polk ($119,609.84)||600||15,850||Doug Polk - $603,683.77||Watch session|
|28||January 15th||Doug Polk ($26,198.60)||650||16,500||Doug Polk - $629,882.37||Watch session|
|29||January 18th||Doug Polk ($73,728.29)||608||17,108||Doug Polk - $703,610.66||Watch session|
|30||January 20th||Doug Polk ($298,000)||~ 700||~17,700||Doug Polk (~$1,001,822)||Watch session|
|31||January 22nd||Daniel Negreanu (~$390,000)||~ 800||~ 18,500||Doug Polk ~$613,000||Watch session at 5:30 PM ET|
When did the Negreanu/Polk Challenge start?
The match began on November 4th at 8 PM ET. It will likely run over many weeks and finish in February 2021.
Neither side originally seemed to be in a significant hurry to get the match started, after agreeing to the challenge earlier this summer. Polk was originally happily (or unhappily?) training for the match while Negreanu was busy playing the WSOP on GG Poker, where he is an ambassador. However, poker fans didn’t have to wait as they have for the infamous Jungleman vs durrrr Challenge match.
In a blog for Doug Polk’s Upswing Poker, it was suggested that the match wouldn’t happen until sometime after the GG Poker portion of the WSOP, which concluded by mid-September. In late October, the pair agreed to the November 4th start date.
How many hands will Negreanu and Polk play in their heads-up Challenge?
The pair will play 25,000 hands.
It was suggested in August that they would play somewhere in the vicinity of 10,000 to 25,000 hands, with the two players ultimately agreeing on a 25,000 hand challenge. The number is typical of recent popular heads-up Challenges played by Phil Galfond, which also recently restarted. The losing player, which turned out to be Daniel Negreanu, had the option of throwing in the towel after 12,500 hands but decided to press on in early January 2021.
Can I watch the Negreanu/Polk Challenge?
Negreanu and Polk are both savvy when it comes to streaming, and both settled on PokerGo to host the first day of the challenge, which was streamed live from the PokerGo Studios (yes, in the first session the pair played face to face). On the first day of the challenge, PokerGo broadcasted the first 200 hands for free, which you can see below.
Of course, there was virtually no chance that Negreanu and Polk didn’t use their established presence on social media platforms such as YouTube and Twitch to make it even more of a spectacle than it already was shaping up to be. After the live session, the heads-up challenge then moved to WSOP.com, where it is being streamed by various Twitch and YouTube channels.
A selection of streams are being provided by both players, allowing you to view all the action being played on WSOP.com. Top streams include the GG Poker YouTube channel, the Doug Polk YouTube channel and the Upswing Twitch channel.
On Day 6 of the Negreanu vs Polk High Stakes Feud, Joey Ingram also got into the commentary game, providing his unique perspective and witty banter. He plans to continue with live commentary throughout the High Stakes Feud.
On Day 15, Doug Polk streamed the entire session live from his office. Originally he stated that he would not show hole cards, but ended up displaying around 40% of his hands, some which were done on purpose and some which were done accidentally.
You can catch that session here:
When is the High Stakes Feud with Negreanu and Polk being held?
So far, Negreanu and Polk have been taking a relaxed approach, playing 2-3 times a week with breaks during the weekend. Most of the matches have started at 5:30 PM ET with sessions lasting a couple of hours and about 300-600 hands playing during each session. By mid-December, Negreanu and Polk had slowed down their play due to the holidays, birthdays and the World Series of Poker Main Event.
They resumed play in early January 2021 after Negreanu declined his option to quit at the mid-way point.
Will Negreanu and Polk play any more live sessions?
Recognizing the popularity of their first live session on PokerGo, both Negreanu and Polk have expressed interest in playing another live session — which would undoubtedly be streamed for poker fans.
The current pandemic poses a roadblock for frequent live sessions, but the smart money is on the side of there being a live session sometime during the 2nd half of the challenge.
What are the odds of the Daniel Negreanu vs Doug Polk heads-up match?
At the start of the match, Daniel Negreanu was around 4.60 — or around 18% — to win the event, making Doug Polk a heavy favorite. Those odds change by the day as bettors get more information and results.
The circumstances for the match have led to some interesting dynamics in handicapping the match. On the surface, Polk seems to be a clear favorite since heads-up No Limit Hold’em is his signature game (whereas it is not for Negreanu). Polk will also benefit from an online format versus a live setting, where Negreanu is strong with his renowned hand-reading skills.
Favoring Negreanu is the fact that prior to the match, Polk had not played much No Limit Hold’em over the last couple of years and could be relatively rusty. Negreanu is also also very used to the pressure and will undoubtedly have lots of resources to improve. Still, the smart money seems to be on the side that Polk will not have lost much during his retirement.
PokerShares has posted odds for the match and in September, Doug Polk was a 1.25 favorite in the market compared to Daniel Negreanu’s 4.10 using European odds. This market effectively gave Polk a 80% chance of winning, which means that things have been relatively steady if not continuing to move in Polk’s direction.
After Day 11, Polk’s odds moved to the highest they have been thus far — about a 10:1 favorite. After a big session on Day 12 held on November 28th, Doug Polk was around a 20:1 favorite, an amount that has further increased.
In early January after 24 sessions, Negreanu was still a big underdog (10:1) despite winning four out of the last five sessions. He was still around a 15:1 underdog as of January 8th, which to this writer seemed a bit excessive considering what has happened thus far.
Who has been the luckiest player thus far?
Without knowing hole cards, we can’t say for sure which player is running the best. However, ongoing analysis is being made of all-in EV in the match. Through the first 21 sessions, Negreanu is getting relatively unlucky with his all-in situations.
After the first half of the challenge (22 sessions), you could bet Daniel Negreanu at +1150 odds or Polk at -2500, implying that Polk has a 94% to win the challenge.
Who is betting on the match?
There are many people wagering on the market over on PokerShares. In fact, some high-profile pros are also getting in on the act. Mike Matusow even bet half of his $20k bankroll on the match. Phil Hellmuth and Bill Perkins have also bet sizable amounts on the match with both favoring Negreanu at those odds.
Have about 1MM so far booked on @RealKidPoker vs @DougPolkVids HU poker battle. With about 500k booked directly w/ the HU Master D Polk himself I think Doug is a fav but trust Dnegs has been studying w/ the #HybridPoker wizards & their accelerated learning tool so better than 4/1
— Bill Perkins (Guy) (@bp22) October 28, 2020
What do Polk and Negreanu have to say about the match?
Daniel Negreanu and Doug Polk weren’t exactly been best friends in the weeks leading up to the match (or forever for that matter). When the pair were finalizing match negotiations, there seemed to be some element of mutual respect developing. However, that was not the case in the days leading up to the match, where both Polk and Negreanu were interviewed by PokerGo in a hype video where they explained their feud.
Are they still fighting?
In a post-game interview after their session 9 match, Doug Polk said that he stood by the criticisms he made of Negreanu but that he did go “a little too hard on him on some of the attacks.”
He reiterated those thoughts in an interview with the GG Poker YouTube stream just before Christmas Eve, making an apology of sorts while Negreanu was also on the stream. “I stand by the things I said and meant them, but I think there is kind of a line that is just unnecessary…to attack people on a personal level… I’m sorry that we went so far on that.”
How is Negreanu handling his losses so far?
After some early December sessions, not good. Shortly after the December 9th session, Negreanu lost his cool in a post-match interview with the GG Poker announcing team, bemoaning his luck over the last few sessions. During his better moments, however, cooler heads prevail and Negreanu acknowledges he is running bad and that this is “just part of the process.”
Will the match go beyond 12,500 hands?
YES! Although Daniel Negreanu teased that he might not continue, he confirmed on January 1st that he would indeed continue the match and that the first match after the mid-way point would be on January 4th.
In terms agreed before the match, the losing player could have dropped out after 12,500 hands. If a player dropped out, this would undoubtedly damage that player’s ego, but at some point, enough might be enough.
While some poker fans encouraged Negreanu to quit, the consensus from the smart money was that he would continue playing, as long as the damage didn’t get too bad. This is a feeling that both Doug Polk and Bill Perkins (who bet on Negreanu) echoed in the days leading up to the decision.
Negreanu directly addressed these questions after Day 18 of the match, strongly indicating that 12,500 hands will not be the end of the match. David Huber explored this topic in a piece from mid-December.
I’ll put in $5 million . I don’t give a shit. Like, I am literally not quitting. There’s no part of me that feels that “oh, you’re just getting outplayed really badly.”
What other heads-up matches can I watch?
Right now is a great time to be a poker fan, especially if you like heads-up matches. In addition to Negreanu/Polk, be sure to check out the Galfond Challenge (available multiple times a week) along with High Stakes Duel, available exclusively on PokerGo every few weeks.
Any other matches planned?
Although it’s still a bit in the “pipe dream” phase both Doug Polk and the Instagram King, Dan Bilzerian have each shown interest in their own heads-up match. Bilzerian hinted that a match between Polk was in the works in early November, which was fueled by a Tweet from Polk strongly hinting at the desire for such a match.
In a post-match interview with GG Pok on November 20th, indicated that he would be open to play almost anybody heads-up.
You want next bud? I’d say lets go but you aren’t man enough to play without begging for odds. https://t.co/xXCbA4TqTj
— Doug “Truck Driver” Polk (@DougPolkVids) November 19, 2020
Preparation for the match
Final details have been released for Daniel Negreanu and Doug Polk’s highly-anticipated Heads-Up grudge match. While Polk waited, he used the downtime to prepare for the challenge.
After the highly-anticipated heads-up challenge was announced, Doug Polk hit hitting the low-stakes heads-up tables with various players. Doug Polk played heads-up against Bill Perkins, among others, including a No Limit Hold’em heads-up session with poker vlogger Matt Vaughn on Americas Cardroom. The game $2/$4 No-Limit Hold’em, low stakes by Doug Polk standards and much lower than what he will ultimately play against Negreanu. Fortunately for Polk fans, the match was streamed by Vaughn and posted on YouTube:
In the early days of his training match, the 15,000 hands he played led to nearly $10k in losses, the equivalent of a -15.08 BB/100 rate. After “retiring” from poker, Polk has been freshening up on his skills by seeking out more heads-up opponents, including at higher stakes, which ultimately led Vaughn to take him up on the offer (although the pair decided to play $2/$4). Here’s what Polk had to say about the relatively difficult restart to his poker career:
After 15k hands of losing poker, its time to move up to where they respect your raises.
Looking to play some $5/$10 and $10/$20 now if anyone wants to play some HU
— Doug Polk (@DougPolkVids) August 25, 2020
He was able to bounce back but was down overall in his initial return to poker:
My results since getting back to playing
25/50 and under : +$165,055.94
50/100 : +$85,760.59
100/200 ACR : +$70,102.42
100/200 WSOP : -$366,955.90
Total: -$46,036, Up 30 buyins
Doing it right
— Doug “Truck Driver” Polk (@DougPolkVids) November 1, 2020